Model line
Nevada −4.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 67%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Nevada home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes Nevada a 4.1-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico offense vs Nevada defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.5#27 | Tempo | #19966.9 |
| 67.5#8 | eFG% | #229.6 |
| 18.3#124 | TOV% | #1128.4 |
| 29.6#133 | ORB% | #11129.7 |
| 40.0#97 | FT rate | #18646.9 |
| 11.4#154 | Block% | #1696.5 |
| 54.3#121 | Assist% | #6946.2 |
| 68.6#19 | 2P% | #1132.3 |
| 44.0#30 | 3P% | #1216.7 |
| 79.2#46 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#113 | 3PA rate | #17036.7 |
Nevada offense vs New Mexico defense
| Nevada O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#199 | Tempo | #2776.5 |
| 52.9#94 | eFG% | #4141.8 |
| 12.0#22 | TOV% | #9019.6 |
| 50.0#10 | ORB% | #1117.1 |
| 33.8#140 | FT rate | #4923.0 |
| 7.1#84 | Block% | #1567.1 |
| 68.8#36 | Assist% | #9250.0 |
| 57.1#85 | 2P% | #13953.6 |
| 30.8#133 | 3P% | #3221.2 |
| 60.9#184 | FT% | — |
| 38.2#155 | 3PA rate | #2754.1 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Utah Tech294 | W 100–60 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa102 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's124 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington73 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.162 | W 107–83 |
Nevada
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Robert Morris228 | W 86–49 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty155 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.90 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.45 | L 66–79 |
