Model line
Nevada −10.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 87%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Air Force home
87%Win probability13%
The model makes Nevada a 10.8-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nevada offense vs Air Force defense
| Nevada O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs Nevada defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
