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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UNLV · #96 · MWC · 0–0Nevada · #61 · MWC · 1–0Sat, Feb 27 · 10:30 PM ETLawlor Events Center · Reno, NV
Model line
Nevada −10.4
Win probability
Nevada 86%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Nevada home
14%Win probability86%

The model makes Nevada a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UNLV offense vs Nevada defense

UNLV OStatNevada D
—Tempo#19966.9
—eFG%#229.6
—TOV%#1128.4
—ORB%#11129.7
—FT rate#18646.9
—Block%#1696.5
—Assist%#6946.2
—2P%#1132.3
—3P%#1216.7
—FT%—
—3PA rate#17036.7

Nevada offense vs UNLV defense

Nevada OStatUNLV D
66.9#199Tempo—
52.9#94eFG%—
12.0#22TOV%—
50.0#10ORB%—
33.8#140FT rate—
7.1#84Block%—
68.8#36Assist%—
57.1#852P%—
30.8#1333P%—
60.9#184FT%—
38.2#1553PA rate—

Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UNLV

Sun, Mar 22ATulsa102L 66–77
Tue, Mar 17AUC Irvine114W 75–72
Thu, Mar 12NUtah St.45L 60–80
Wed, Mar 11NWyoming119W 73–70
Fri, Mar 6ASan Diego St.79L 86–89

Nevada

Mon, Nov 2HRobert Morris228W 86–49
Wed, Mar 25AAuburn27L 69–75
Sat, Mar 21HLiberty155W 73–63
Wed, Mar 18HMurray St.90W 89–75
Fri, Mar 13NUtah St.45L 66–79