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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Wyoming · #117 · MWC · 0–0Nevada · #77 · MWC · 0–0Sat, Feb 6 · 4:30 PM ETLawlor Events Center · Reno, NV
Model line
Nevada −10.6
Win probability
Nevada 87%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Nevada home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes Nevada a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Wyoming offense vs Nevada defense

Wyoming OStatNevada D
67.6#221Tempo#25266.8
51.8#159eFG%#16051.0
16.3#158TOV%#13517.2
34.1#66ORB%#2926.7
35.4#169FT rate#29339.4
10.9#298Block%#5311.9
53.8#141Assist%#26455.4
53.6#1052P%#14951.1
33.0#2343P%#18234.0
74.3#118FT%—
43.0#1143PA rate#8842.4

Nevada offense vs Wyoming defense

Nevada OStatWyoming D
66.8#252Tempo#22167.6
49.9#240eFG%#21752.0
14.7#50TOV%#17116.8
32.2#117ORB%#6828.0
45.1#6FT rate#36047.9
9.5#186Block%#3137.0
57.5#63Assist%#2545.2
48.1#3062P%#25753.5
35.8#693P%#10832.8
75.8#57FT%—
32.2#3263PA rate#29235.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Wyoming

Tue, Mar 17AWichita St.80L 70–74
Wed, Mar 11NUNLV89L 70–73
Sat, Mar 7ASan Jose St.161W 88–78
Tue, Mar 3HNevada77W 83–73
Sat, Feb 28HAir Force279W 66–62

Nevada

Wed, Mar 25AAuburn27L 69–75
Sat, Mar 21HLiberty149W 73–63
Wed, Mar 18HMurray St.97W 89–75
Fri, Mar 13NUtah St.56L 66–79
Thu, Mar 12NGrand Canyon42W 84–80