Model line
Nevada −10.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 85%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
UC Davis home
85%Win probability15%
The model makes Nevada a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nevada offense vs UC Davis defense
| Nevada O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#199 | Tempo | #3675.8 |
| 52.9#94 | eFG% | #19759.2 |
| 12.0#22 | TOV% | #3425.1 |
| 50.0#10 | ORB% | #3622.2 |
| 33.8#140 | FT rate | #21657.1 |
| 7.1#84 | Block% | #2420.0 |
| 68.8#36 | Assist% | #2737.5 |
| 57.1#85 | 2P% | #18060.9 |
| 30.8#133 | 3P% | #18338.5 |
| 60.9#184 | FT% | — |
| 38.2#155 | 3PA rate | #3353.1 |
UC Davis offense vs Nevada defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 75.8#36 | Tempo | #19966.9 |
| 47.4#154 | eFG% | #229.6 |
| 19.8#156 | TOV% | #1128.4 |
| 26.3#168 | ORB% | #11129.7 |
| 52.6#37 | FT rate | #18646.9 |
| 9.4#124 | Block% | #1696.5 |
| 52.2#136 | Assist% | #6946.2 |
| 46.9#168 | 2P% | #1132.3 |
| 32.0#120 | 3P% | #1216.7 |
| 70.0#117 | FT% | — |
| 43.9#93 | 3PA rate | #17036.7 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nevada
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Robert Morris228 | W 86–49 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty155 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.90 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.45 | L 66–79 |
UC Davis
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | North Alabama286 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton201 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara105 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine114 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.246 | W 76–70 |
