Model line
UNLV −2.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNLV 61%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
UNLV home
39%Win probability61%
The model makes UNLV a 2.6-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nevada offense vs UNLV defense
| Nevada O | Stat | UNLV D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#199 | Tempo | — |
| 52.9#94 | eFG% | — |
| 12.0#22 | TOV% | — |
| 50.0#10 | ORB% | — |
| 33.8#140 | FT rate | — |
| 7.1#84 | Block% | — |
| 68.8#36 | Assist% | — |
| 57.1#85 | 2P% | — |
| 30.8#133 | 3P% | — |
| 60.9#184 | FT% | — |
| 38.2#155 | 3PA rate | — |
UNLV offense vs Nevada defense
| UNLV O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| — | Tempo | #19966.9 |
| — | eFG% | #229.6 |
| — | TOV% | #1128.4 |
| — | ORB% | #11129.7 |
| — | FT rate | #18646.9 |
| — | Block% | #1696.5 |
| — | Assist% | #6946.2 |
| — | 2P% | #1132.3 |
| — | 3P% | #1216.7 |
| — | FT% | — |
| — | 3PA rate | #17036.7 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nevada
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Robert Morris228 | W 86–49 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty155 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.90 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.45 | L 66–79 |
UNLV
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Tulsa102 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | UC Irvine114 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah St.45 | L 60–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wyoming119 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | San Diego St.79 | L 86–89 |
