Model line
Nevada −16.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 96%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Nevada home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Nevada a 16.5-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UTEP offense vs Nevada defense
| UTEP O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#300 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 48.3#309 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 17.4#233 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 26.2#318 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 33.4#228 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 8.4#96 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 48.0#288 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 46.5#344 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 33.9#181 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 70.4#260 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#164 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Nevada offense vs UTEP defense
| Nevada O | Stat | UTEP D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #30066.0 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #18951.5 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #10018.0 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #29432.8 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #32242.0 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #13210.1 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #19252.7 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #19051.9 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #18634.0 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #25337.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UTEP
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Jacksonville St.197 | L 61–64 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Kennesaw St.146 | W 78–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Western Kentucky119 | L 65–97 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Middle Tennessee160 | L 67–77 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | New Mexico St.140 | L 63–67 |
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
