Model line
Nevada −1.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 55%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
San Jose St. home
55%Win probability45%
The model makes Nevada a 1.3-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nevada offense vs San Jose St. defense
| Nevada O | Stat | San Jose St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #30765.8 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #35957.1 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #12717.4 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #35436.5 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #19035.3 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #3346.4 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #30957.7 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #36159.1 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #30436.0 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #19039.3 |
San Jose St. offense vs Nevada defense
| San Jose St. O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#307 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 49.7#253 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 15.1#71 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 29.3#226 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 33.4#225 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 8.3#83 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 42.2#353 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 47.6#320 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 35.3#101 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 73.8#142 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#205 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
San Jose St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | New Mexico66 | L 77–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Boise St.71 | W 84–74 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Wyoming117 | L 78–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Fresno St.180 | L 68–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Colorado St.83 | L 73–85 |
