Model line
New Mexico −8.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico 80%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes New Mexico a 8.0-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nevada offense vs New Mexico defense
| Nevada O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs Nevada defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
