Model line
Hawaii −1.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Hawaii 58%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Hawaii home
42%Win probability58%
The model makes Hawaii a 1.9-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nevada offense vs Hawaii defense
| Nevada O | Stat | Hawaii D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#252 | Tempo | #1772.4 |
| 49.9#240 | eFG% | #1946.8 |
| 14.7#50 | TOV% | #16516.8 |
| 32.2#117 | ORB% | #1325.3 |
| 45.1#6 | FT rate | #20035.6 |
| 9.5#186 | Block% | #1509.8 |
| 57.5#63 | Assist% | #439.7 |
| 48.1#306 | 2P% | #3747.5 |
| 35.8#69 | 3P% | #1230.3 |
| 75.8#57 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#326 | 3PA rate | #35232.3 |
Hawaii offense vs Nevada defense
| Hawaii O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#17 | Tempo | #25266.8 |
| 52.0#146 | eFG% | #16051.0 |
| 18.8#313 | TOV% | #13517.2 |
| 31.3#151 | ORB% | #2926.7 |
| 41.4#40 | FT rate | #29339.4 |
| 8.7#122 | Block% | #5311.9 |
| 49.8#244 | Assist% | #26455.4 |
| 54.9#60 | 2P% | #14951.1 |
| 31.7#290 | 3P% | #18234.0 |
| 73.5#152 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#174 | 3PA rate | #8842.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nevada
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty149 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.97 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.56 | L 66–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Grand Canyon42 | W 84–80 |
Hawaii
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Arkansas23 | L 78–97 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | UC Irvine109 | W 71–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | W 78–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 75–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 93–74 |
