Model line
Hawaii −1.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Hawaii 58%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Air Force home
58%Win probability42%
The model makes Hawaii a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Hawaii offense vs Air Force defense
| Hawaii O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#17 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 52.0#146 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 18.8#313 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 31.3#151 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 41.4#40 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 8.7#122 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 49.8#244 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 54.9#60 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 31.7#290 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 73.5#152 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#174 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs Hawaii defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Hawaii D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #1772.4 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #1946.8 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #16516.8 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #1325.3 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #20035.6 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #1509.8 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #439.7 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #3747.5 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #1230.3 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #35232.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Hawaii
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Arkansas23 | L 78–97 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | UC Irvine109 | W 71–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | W 78–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 75–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 93–74 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
