Model line
Hawaii −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Hawaii 87%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Hawaii home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Hawaii a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Davis offense vs Hawaii defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Hawaii D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #1772.4 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #1946.8 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #16516.8 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #1325.3 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #20035.6 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #1509.8 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #439.7 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #3747.5 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #1230.3 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #35232.3 |
Hawaii offense vs UC Davis defense
| Hawaii O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#17 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 52.0#146 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 18.8#313 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 31.3#151 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 41.4#40 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 8.7#122 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 49.8#244 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 54.9#60 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 31.7#290 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 73.5#152 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#174 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
Hawaii
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Arkansas23 | L 78–97 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | UC Irvine109 | W 71–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | W 78–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 75–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 93–74 |
