Model line
Hawaii −1.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Hawaii 56%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Hawaii home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Hawaii a 1.5-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Mexico offense vs Hawaii defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Hawaii D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #1772.4 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #1946.8 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #16516.8 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #1325.3 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #20035.6 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #1509.8 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #439.7 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #3747.5 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #1230.3 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #35232.3 |
Hawaii offense vs New Mexico defense
| Hawaii O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#17 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 52.0#146 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 18.8#313 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 31.3#151 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 41.4#40 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 8.7#122 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 49.8#244 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 54.9#60 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 31.7#290 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 73.5#152 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#174 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
Hawaii
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Arkansas23 | L 78–97 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | UC Irvine109 | W 71–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | W 78–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 75–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 93–74 |
