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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Hawaii · #132 · MWC · 0–0UC Davis · #188 · MWC · 0–0Tue, Jan 5 · 9:00 PM ETUniversity Credit Union Center · Davis, CA
Model line
UC Davis −3.5
Win probability
UC Davis 64%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
UC Davis home
36%Win probability64%

The model makes UC Davis a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Hawaii offense vs UC Davis defense

Hawaii OStatUC Davis D
72.4#17Tempo#4271.3
52.0#146eFG%#19851.7
18.8#313TOV%#3019.8
31.3#151ORB%#18330.5
41.4#40FT rate#29039.1
8.7#122Block%#2857.6
49.8#244Assist%#16951.9
54.9#602P%#21852.4
31.7#2903P%#17133.8
73.5#152FT%—
39.8#1743PA rate#23038.1

UC Davis offense vs Hawaii defense

UC Davis OStatHawaii D
71.3#42Tempo#1772.4
51.8#158eFG%#1946.8
17.9#268TOV%#16516.8
25.2#337ORB%#1325.3
40.5#54FT rate#20035.6
10.3#263Block%#1509.8
59.9#35Assist%#439.7
51.9#1742P%#3747.5
34.4#1543P%#1230.3
75.3#73FT%—
43.5#1033PA rate#35232.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Hawaii

Thu, Mar 19NArkansas23L 78–97
Sat, Mar 14NUC Irvine109W 71–64
Fri, Mar 13NCal St. Fullerton213W 78–63
Sat, Mar 7HLong Beach St.264L 75–84
Thu, Mar 5HUC Riverside223W 93–74

UC Davis

Thu, Mar 12NCal St. Fullerton213L 70–82
Wed, Mar 11NUC Santa Barbara101W 79–73
Sat, Mar 7AUC Irvine109L 69–79
Thu, Mar 5ALong Beach St.264W 76–70
Thu, Feb 26HHawaii132L 73–77