Model line
Harvard −6.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Harvard 75%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Harvard home
25%Win probability75%
The model makes Harvard a 6.5-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Penn offense vs Harvard defense
| Penn O | Stat | Harvard D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#160 | Tempo | #35763.9 |
| 50.4#220 | eFG% | #12150.4 |
| 15.3#89 | TOV% | #13817.1 |
| 30.0#201 | ORB% | #7328.2 |
| 33.9#214 | FT rate | #1726.6 |
| 9.3#166 | Block% | #9610.8 |
| 52.3#186 | Assist% | #16351.7 |
| 46.5#341 | 2P% | #15951.4 |
| 38.3#15 | 3P% | #9232.6 |
| 69.4#288 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#265 | 3PA rate | #21138.7 |
Harvard offense vs Penn defense
| Harvard O | Stat | Penn D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.9#357 | Tempo | #16068.8 |
| 53.2#93 | eFG% | #22052.1 |
| 17.4#227 | TOV% | #13117.3 |
| 26.8#303 | ORB% | #21631.3 |
| 25.7#359 | FT rate | #2627.5 |
| 7.4#24 | Block% | #2318.5 |
| 56.1#87 | Assist% | #20753.2 |
| 54.0#85 | 2P% | #29754.5 |
| 34.7#137 | 3P% | #7332.2 |
| 80.8#1 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#166 | 3PA rate | #17239.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Penn
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Illinois7 | L 70–105 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Yale145 | W 88–84 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Harvard135 | W 62–60 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Brown229 | W 82–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Harvard135 | W 64–61 |
Harvard
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Penn123 | L 60–62 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Columbia202 | W 81–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Penn123 | L 61–64 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Princeton155 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Cornell196 | W 73–54 |
