Model line
Penn −10.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn 86%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Penn home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Penn a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Princeton offense vs Penn defense
| Princeton O | Stat | Penn D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#343 | Tempo | #16068.8 |
| 49.6#261 | eFG% | #22052.1 |
| 17.1#211 | TOV% | #13117.3 |
| 27.2#290 | ORB% | #21631.3 |
| 34.6#195 | FT rate | #2627.5 |
| 10.3#262 | Block% | #2318.5 |
| 55.0#114 | Assist% | #20753.2 |
| 48.6#296 | 2P% | #29754.5 |
| 33.9#180 | 3P% | #7332.2 |
| 74.8#90 | FT% | — |
| 44.5#79 | 3PA rate | #17239.7 |
Penn offense vs Princeton defense
| Penn O | Stat | Princeton D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#160 | Tempo | #34364.5 |
| 50.4#220 | eFG% | #21352.0 |
| 15.3#89 | TOV% | #32614.3 |
| 30.0#201 | ORB% | #8728.5 |
| 33.9#214 | FT rate | #15234.0 |
| 9.3#166 | Block% | #3336.4 |
| 52.3#186 | Assist% | #11750.1 |
| 46.5#341 | 2P% | #32255.7 |
| 38.3#15 | 3P% | #3731.1 |
| 69.4#288 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#265 | 3PA rate | #11441.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Princeton
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Yale145 | L 53–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Dartmouth304 | W 82–61 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Harvard135 | L 56–58 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Brown229 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Columbia202 | L 65–75 |
Penn
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Illinois7 | L 70–105 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Yale145 | W 88–84 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Harvard135 | W 62–60 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Brown229 | W 82–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Harvard135 | W 64–61 |
