Model line
Yale −4.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Yale 69%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Yale home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Yale a 4.7-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Penn offense vs Yale defense
| Penn O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#160 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 50.4#220 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 15.3#89 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 30.0#201 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 33.9#214 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 9.3#166 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 52.3#186 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 46.5#341 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 38.3#15 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 69.4#288 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#265 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Yale offense vs Penn defense
| Yale O | Stat | Penn D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #16068.8 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #22052.1 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #13117.3 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #21631.3 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #2627.5 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #2318.5 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #20753.2 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #29754.5 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #7332.2 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #17239.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Penn
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Illinois7 | L 70–105 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Yale145 | W 88–84 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Harvard135 | W 62–60 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Brown229 | W 82–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Harvard135 | W 64–61 |
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
