Model line
Penn −17.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn 97%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Penn home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Penn a 17.8-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Dartmouth offense vs Penn defense
| Dartmouth O | Stat | Penn D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#131 | Tempo | #16068.8 |
| 51.8#154 | eFG% | #22052.1 |
| 17.6#242 | TOV% | #13117.3 |
| 23.7#347 | ORB% | #21631.3 |
| 38.0#102 | FT rate | #2627.5 |
| 10.4#264 | Block% | #2318.5 |
| 53.9#139 | Assist% | #20753.2 |
| 49.4#271 | 2P% | #29754.5 |
| 36.1#53 | 3P% | #7332.2 |
| 74.2#119 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#22 | 3PA rate | #17239.7 |
Penn offense vs Dartmouth defense
| Penn O | Stat | Dartmouth D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#160 | Tempo | #13169.2 |
| 50.4#220 | eFG% | #25252.7 |
| 15.3#89 | TOV% | #34113.8 |
| 30.0#201 | ORB% | #14429.7 |
| 33.9#214 | FT rate | #7930.7 |
| 9.3#166 | Block% | #1749.3 |
| 52.3#186 | Assist% | #13550.8 |
| 46.5#341 | 2P% | #24453.2 |
| 38.3#15 | 3P% | #22234.6 |
| 69.4#288 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#265 | 3PA rate | #19239.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Dartmouth
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cornell196 | L 90–111 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Princeton155 | L 61–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Penn123 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Columbia202 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Brown229 | L 76–79 |
Penn
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Illinois7 | L 70–105 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Yale145 | W 88–84 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Harvard135 | W 62–60 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Brown229 | W 82–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Harvard135 | W 64–61 |
