Model line
Grand Canyon −15.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Grand Canyon 95%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Air Force home
95%Win probability6%
The model makes Grand Canyon a 15.2-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grand Canyon offense vs Air Force defense
| Grand Canyon O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#146 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 51.7#162 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 17.6#245 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 31.3#150 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 39.5#68 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 7.9#52 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 49.6#250 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 54.2#80 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 31.8#287 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 75.3#72 | FT% | — |
| 38.9#192 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs Grand Canyon defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Grand Canyon D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #14669.0 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #2847.4 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #12917.3 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #1225.3 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #28539.0 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #11310.5 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #11650.1 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #3147.2 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #6031.9 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #22438.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grand Canyon
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Nevada77 | L 80–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Fresno St.180 | W 85–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Air Force279 | W 86–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah St.56 | L 69–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | UNLV89 | W 80–67 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
