Model line
New Mexico −4.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Mexico 66%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
New Mexico home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes New Mexico a 4.0-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grand Canyon offense vs New Mexico defense
| Grand Canyon O | Stat | New Mexico D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#146 | Tempo | #7070.6 |
| 51.7#162 | eFG% | #9049.8 |
| 17.6#245 | TOV% | #4419.1 |
| 31.3#150 | ORB% | #6227.8 |
| 39.5#68 | FT rate | #16834.6 |
| 7.9#52 | Block% | #1929.1 |
| 49.6#250 | Assist% | #24854.8 |
| 54.2#80 | 2P% | #26353.7 |
| 31.8#287 | 3P% | #1430.3 |
| 75.3#72 | FT% | — |
| 38.9#192 | 3PA rate | #1047.6 |
New Mexico offense vs Grand Canyon defense
| New Mexico O | Stat | Grand Canyon D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#70 | Tempo | #14669.0 |
| 53.9#70 | eFG% | #2847.4 |
| 15.0#64 | TOV% | #12917.3 |
| 30.5#181 | ORB% | #1225.3 |
| 35.9#156 | FT rate | #28539.0 |
| 8.6#114 | Block% | #11310.5 |
| 52.7#171 | Assist% | #11650.1 |
| 53.7#94 | 2P% | #3147.2 |
| 36.2#49 | 3P% | #6031.9 |
| 72.7#179 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#137 | 3PA rate | #22438.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grand Canyon
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Nevada77 | L 80–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Fresno St.180 | W 85–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Air Force279 | W 86–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah St.56 | L 69–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | UNLV89 | W 80–67 |
New Mexico
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Tulsa104 | L 69–74 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | W 84–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | George Washington103 | W 86–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 107–83 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–64 |
