Model line
Grand Canyon −9.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Grand Canyon 84%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
UC Davis home
84%Win probability17%
The model makes Grand Canyon a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grand Canyon offense vs UC Davis defense
| Grand Canyon O | Stat | UC Davis D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#146 | Tempo | #4271.3 |
| 51.7#162 | eFG% | #19851.7 |
| 17.6#245 | TOV% | #3019.8 |
| 31.3#150 | ORB% | #18330.5 |
| 39.5#68 | FT rate | #29039.1 |
| 7.9#52 | Block% | #2857.6 |
| 49.6#250 | Assist% | #16951.9 |
| 54.2#80 | 2P% | #21852.4 |
| 31.8#287 | 3P% | #17133.8 |
| 75.3#72 | FT% | — |
| 38.9#192 | 3PA rate | #23038.1 |
UC Davis offense vs Grand Canyon defense
| UC Davis O | Stat | Grand Canyon D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#42 | Tempo | #14669.0 |
| 51.8#158 | eFG% | #2847.4 |
| 17.9#268 | TOV% | #12917.3 |
| 25.2#337 | ORB% | #1225.3 |
| 40.5#54 | FT rate | #28539.0 |
| 10.3#263 | Block% | #11310.5 |
| 59.9#35 | Assist% | #11650.1 |
| 51.9#174 | 2P% | #3147.2 |
| 34.4#154 | 3P% | #6031.9 |
| 75.3#73 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#103 | 3PA rate | #22438.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grand Canyon
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Nevada77 | L 80–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Fresno St.180 | W 85–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Air Force279 | W 86–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah St.56 | L 69–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | UNLV89 | W 80–67 |
UC Davis
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 70–82 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Santa Barbara101 | W 79–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 69–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Long Beach St.264 | W 76–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Hawaii132 | L 73–77 |
