Model line
Memphis −2.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 62%
Projected tempo
72.1
possessions
Site
Memphis home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Memphis a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grand Canyon offense vs Memphis defense
| Grand Canyon O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#146 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 51.7#162 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 17.6#245 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 31.3#150 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 39.5#68 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 7.9#52 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 49.6#250 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 54.2#80 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 31.8#287 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 75.3#72 | FT% | — |
| 38.9#192 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Memphis offense vs Grand Canyon defense
| Memphis O | Stat | Grand Canyon D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #14669.0 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #2847.4 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #12917.3 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #1225.3 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #28539.0 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #11310.5 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #11650.1 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #3147.2 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #6031.9 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #22438.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grand Canyon
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Nevada77 | L 80–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Fresno St.180 | W 85–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Air Force279 | W 86–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah St.56 | L 69–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | UNLV89 | W 80–67 |
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
