Model line
Connecticut −39.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Connecticut >99%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Connecticut home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Connecticut a 39.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Gardner Webb offense vs Connecticut defense
| Gardner Webb O | Stat | Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#60 | Tempo | #29466.0 |
| 47.8#316 | eFG% | #845.9 |
| 19.8#344 | TOV% | #9618.0 |
| 23.2#349 | ORB% | #8028.3 |
| 30.3#303 | FT rate | #30840.6 |
| 10.4#266 | Block% | #915.0 |
| 41.0#357 | Assist% | #8549.0 |
| 48.6#294 | 2P% | #1345.9 |
| 31.0#320 | 3P% | #2030.5 |
| 68.5#310 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#173 | 3PA rate | #27336.6 |
Connecticut offense vs Gardner Webb defense
| Connecticut O | Stat | Gardner Webb D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0#294 | Tempo | #6070.8 |
| 55.3#33 | eFG% | #35556.9 |
| 16.7#174 | TOV% | #26315.3 |
| 36.1#24 | ORB% | #35636.6 |
| 29.9#313 | FT rate | #18435.2 |
| 9.6#196 | Block% | #3246.6 |
| 65.1#7 | Assist% | #26155.3 |
| 57.4#26 | 2P% | #36059.0 |
| 34.7#134 | 3P% | #30136.0 |
| 71.6#217 | FT% | — |
| 40.3#163 | 3PA rate | #12741.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Gardner Webb
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | High Point61 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | USC Upstate343 | W 65–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | USC Upstate343 | L 61–71 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UNC Asheville291 | L 71–77 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Radford255 | L 70–82 |
Connecticut
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Michigan24 | L 63–69 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Illinois7 | W 71–62 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Duke1 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan St.9 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | UCLA18 | W 73–57 |
