HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UC Davis · #188 · MWC · 0–0Grand Canyon · #42 · MWC · 0–0Sat, Mar 6 · 3:00 PM ETGlobal Credit Union Arena · Phoenix, AZ
Model line
Grand Canyon −24.0
Win probability
Grand Canyon 99%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Grand Canyon home
1%Win probability99%

The model makes Grand Canyon a 24.0-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UC Davis offense vs Grand Canyon defense

UC Davis OStatGrand Canyon D
71.3#42Tempo#14669.0
51.8#158eFG%#2847.4
17.9#268TOV%#12917.3
25.2#337ORB%#1225.3
40.5#54FT rate#28539.0
10.3#263Block%#11310.5
59.9#35Assist%#11650.1
51.9#1742P%#3147.2
34.4#1543P%#6031.9
75.3#73FT%—
43.5#1033PA rate#22438.2

Grand Canyon offense vs UC Davis defense

Grand Canyon OStatUC Davis D
69.0#146Tempo#4271.3
51.7#162eFG%#19851.7
17.6#245TOV%#3019.8
31.3#150ORB%#18330.5
39.5#68FT rate#29039.1
7.9#52Block%#2857.6
49.6#250Assist%#16951.9
54.2#802P%#21852.4
31.8#2873P%#17133.8
75.3#72FT%—
38.9#1923PA rate#23038.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UC Davis

Thu, Mar 12NCal St. Fullerton213L 70–82
Wed, Mar 11NUC Santa Barbara101W 79–73
Sat, Mar 7AUC Irvine109L 69–79
Thu, Mar 5ALong Beach St.264W 76–70
Thu, Feb 26HHawaii132L 73–77

Grand Canyon

Thu, Mar 12NNevada77L 80–84
Sat, Mar 7HFresno St.180W 85–60
Tue, Mar 3AAir Force279W 86–60
Sat, Feb 28AUtah St.56L 69–74
Wed, Feb 25HUNLV89W 80–67