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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Nevada · #77 · MWC · 0–0Grand Canyon · #42 · MWC · 0–0Sat, Feb 13 · 4:00 PM ETGlobal Credit Union Arena · Phoenix, AZ
Model line
Grand Canyon −10.4
Win probability
Grand Canyon 86%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Grand Canyon home
14%Win probability86%

The model makes Grand Canyon a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Nevada offense vs Grand Canyon defense

Nevada OStatGrand Canyon D
66.8#252Tempo#14669.0
49.9#240eFG%#2847.4
14.7#50TOV%#12917.3
32.2#117ORB%#1225.3
45.1#6FT rate#28539.0
9.5#186Block%#11310.5
57.5#63Assist%#11650.1
48.1#3062P%#3147.2
35.8#693P%#6031.9
75.8#57FT%—
32.2#3263PA rate#22438.2

Grand Canyon offense vs Nevada defense

Grand Canyon OStatNevada D
69.0#146Tempo#25266.8
51.7#162eFG%#16051.0
17.6#245TOV%#13517.2
31.3#150ORB%#2926.7
39.5#68FT rate#29339.4
7.9#52Block%#5311.9
49.6#250Assist%#26455.4
54.2#802P%#14951.1
31.8#2873P%#18234.0
75.3#72FT%—
38.9#1923PA rate#8842.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Nevada

Wed, Mar 25AAuburn27L 69–75
Sat, Mar 21HLiberty149W 73–63
Wed, Mar 18HMurray St.97W 89–75
Fri, Mar 13NUtah St.56L 66–79
Thu, Mar 12NGrand Canyon42W 84–80

Grand Canyon

Thu, Mar 12NNevada77L 80–84
Sat, Mar 7HFresno St.180W 85–60
Tue, Mar 3AAir Force279W 86–60
Sat, Feb 28AUtah St.56L 69–74
Wed, Feb 25HUNLV89W 80–67