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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Air Force · #279 · MWC · 0–0Grand Canyon · #42 · MWC · 0–0Tue, Jan 26 · 10:30 PM ETGlobal Credit Union Arena · Phoenix, AZ
Model line
Grand Canyon −34.0
Win probability
Grand Canyon >99%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Grand Canyon home
<1%Win probability>99%

The model makes Grand Canyon a 34.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Air Force offense vs Grand Canyon defense

Air Force OStatGrand Canyon D
67.4#226Tempo#14669.0
48.9#290eFG%#2847.4
21.9#361TOV%#12917.3
21.4#360ORB%#1225.3
35.1#173FT rate#28539.0
11.9#336Block%#11310.5
55.9#92Assist%#11650.1
51.1#2082P%#3147.2
30.6#3283P%#6031.9
64.1#364FT%—
41.8#1383PA rate#22438.2

Grand Canyon offense vs Air Force defense

Grand Canyon OStatAir Force D
69.0#146Tempo#22667.4
51.7#162eFG%#35056.4
17.6#245TOV%#27315.1
31.3#150ORB%#21331.3
39.5#68FT rate#22736.6
7.9#52Block%#3166.8
49.6#250Assist%#23054.2
54.2#802P%#33356.3
31.8#2873P%#35037.6
75.3#72FT%—
38.9#1923PA rate#20638.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Air Force

Wed, Mar 11NNevada77L 45–80
Sat, Mar 7ANevada77L 59–74
Tue, Mar 3HGrand Canyon42L 60–86
Sat, Feb 28AWyoming117L 62–66
Tue, Feb 24HSan Jose St.161L 80–86

Grand Canyon

Thu, Mar 12NNevada77L 80–84
Sat, Mar 7HFresno St.180W 85–60
Tue, Mar 3AAir Force279W 86–60
Sat, Feb 28AUtah St.56L 69–74
Wed, Feb 25HUNLV89W 80–67