Model line
Nevada −5.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Nevada 71%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Nevada home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Nevada a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grand Canyon offense vs Nevada defense
| Grand Canyon O | Stat | Nevada D |
|---|---|---|
| 80.7#5 | Tempo | #19966.9 |
| 59.2#47 | eFG% | #229.6 |
| 18.6#131 | TOV% | #1128.4 |
| 48.6#13 | ORB% | #11129.7 |
| 63.1#18 | FT rate | #18646.9 |
| 6.5#72 | Block% | #1696.5 |
| 69.7#31 | Assist% | #6946.2 |
| 71.0#13 | 2P% | #1132.3 |
| 32.4#113 | 3P% | #1216.7 |
| 63.4#160 | FT% | — |
| 52.3#35 | 3PA rate | #17036.7 |
Nevada offense vs Grand Canyon defense
| Nevada O | Stat | Grand Canyon D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#199 | Tempo | #580.7 |
| 52.9#94 | eFG% | #7845.8 |
| 12.0#22 | TOV% | #13217.3 |
| 50.0#10 | ORB% | #10429.3 |
| 33.8#140 | FT rate | #23567.8 |
| 7.1#84 | Block% | #8711.6 |
| 68.8#36 | Assist% | #5444.0 |
| 57.1#85 | 2P% | #10048.8 |
| 30.8#133 | 3P% | #5825.0 |
| 60.9#184 | FT% | — |
| 38.2#155 | 3PA rate | #22827.1 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grand Canyon
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Texas Southern327 | W 103–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Nevada61 | L 80–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Fresno St.182 | W 85–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Air Force317 | W 86–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah St.45 | L 69–74 |
Nevada
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Robert Morris228 | W 86–49 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Auburn27 | L 69–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Liberty155 | W 73–63 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Murray St.90 | W 89–75 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah St.45 | L 66–79 |
