Model line
Grand Canyon −32.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Grand Canyon >99%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Grand Canyon home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Grand Canyon a 32.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UMBC offense vs Grand Canyon defense
| UMBC O | Stat | Grand Canyon D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#273 | Tempo | #14669.0 |
| 54.1#68 | eFG% | #2847.4 |
| 14.0#24 | TOV% | #12917.3 |
| 24.9#342 | ORB% | #1225.3 |
| 34.1#206 | FT rate | #28539.0 |
| 6.4#11 | Block% | #11310.5 |
| 44.8#336 | Assist% | #11650.1 |
| 54.1#84 | 2P% | #3147.2 |
| 36.1#57 | 3P% | #6031.9 |
| 76.0#53 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#194 | 3PA rate | #22438.2 |
Grand Canyon offense vs UMBC defense
| Grand Canyon O | Stat | UMBC D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#146 | Tempo | #27366.5 |
| 51.7#162 | eFG% | #8149.4 |
| 17.6#245 | TOV% | #28615.1 |
| 31.3#150 | ORB% | #1825.8 |
| 39.5#68 | FT rate | #1225.7 |
| 7.9#52 | Block% | #3286.5 |
| 49.6#250 | Assist% | #1143.0 |
| 54.2#80 | 2P% | #8849.6 |
| 31.8#287 | 3P% | #10432.7 |
| 75.3#72 | FT% | — |
| 38.9#192 | 3PA rate | #24637.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UMBC
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Howard164 | L 83–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Vermont189 | W 74–59 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 91–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | NJIT336 | W 91–52 |
Grand Canyon
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Nevada77 | L 80–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Fresno St.180 | W 85–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Air Force279 | W 86–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah St.56 | L 69–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | UNLV89 | W 80–67 |
