Model line
Florida −9.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida 83%
Projected tempo
72.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
17%Win probability83%
The model makes Florida a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Grand Canyon offense vs Florida defense
| Grand Canyon O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#146 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 51.7#162 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 17.6#245 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 31.3#150 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 39.5#68 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 7.9#52 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 49.6#250 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 54.2#80 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 31.8#287 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 75.3#72 | FT% | — |
| 38.9#192 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Florida offense vs Grand Canyon defense
| Florida O | Stat | Grand Canyon D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #14669.0 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #2847.4 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #12917.3 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #1225.3 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #28539.0 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #11310.5 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #11650.1 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #3147.2 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #6031.9 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #22438.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Grand Canyon
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Nevada77 | L 80–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Fresno St.180 | W 85–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Air Force279 | W 86–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah St.56 | L 69–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | UNLV89 | W 80–67 |
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
