Model line
Grand Canyon −33.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Grand Canyon >99%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Grand Canyon home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Grand Canyon a 33.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern St. offense vs Grand Canyon defense
| Northwestern St. O | Stat | Grand Canyon D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#329 | Tempo | #14669.0 |
| 48.6#301 | eFG% | #2847.4 |
| 18.3#288 | TOV% | #12917.3 |
| 26.1#320 | ORB% | #1225.3 |
| 40.1#58 | FT rate | #28539.0 |
| 9.6#200 | Block% | #11310.5 |
| 50.7#225 | Assist% | #11650.1 |
| 48.0#310 | 2P% | #3147.2 |
| 33.2#217 | 3P% | #6031.9 |
| 74.0#136 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#299 | 3PA rate | #22438.2 |
Grand Canyon offense vs Northwestern St. defense
| Grand Canyon O | Stat | Northwestern St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#146 | Tempo | #32965.2 |
| 51.7#162 | eFG% | #26953.0 |
| 17.6#245 | TOV% | #16116.9 |
| 31.3#150 | ORB% | #28532.6 |
| 39.5#68 | FT rate | #22236.3 |
| 7.9#52 | Block% | #3226.7 |
| 49.6#250 | Assist% | #16851.9 |
| 54.2#80 | 2P% | #23452.9 |
| 31.8#287 | 3P% | #28235.5 |
| 75.3#72 | FT% | — |
| 38.9#192 | 3PA rate | #24037.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Nicholls St.287 | L 47–61 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 62–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 59–71 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Incarnate Word302 | W 54–49 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Houston Christian253 | W 71–53 |
Grand Canyon
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Nevada77 | L 80–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Fresno St.180 | W 85–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Air Force279 | W 86–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah St.56 | L 69–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | UNLV89 | W 80–67 |
