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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Incarnate Word · #314 · Slnd · 0–1Grand Canyon · #47 · MWC · 1–0Sun, Nov 29 · 8:00 PM ETGlobal Credit Union Arena · Phoenix, AZ
Model line
Grand Canyon −30.3
Win probability
Grand Canyon >99%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Grand Canyon home
<1%Win probability>99%

The model makes Grand Canyon a 30.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Incarnate Word offense vs Grand Canyon defense

Incarnate Word OStatGrand Canyon D
74.2#57Tempo#580.7
50.0#125eFG%#7845.8
28.3#229TOV%#13217.3
11.5#239ORB%#10429.3
27.5#170FT rate#23567.8
18.8#220Block%#8711.6
54.5#120Assist%#5444.0
46.9#1672P%#10048.8
36.8#773P%#5825.0
64.3#152FT%—
37.3#1633PA rate#22827.1

Grand Canyon offense vs Incarnate Word defense

Grand Canyon OStatIncarnate Word D
80.7#5Tempo#5774.2
59.2#47eFG%#15153.1
18.6#131TOV%#21912.1
48.6#13ORB%#19239.5
63.1#18FT rate#17744.6
6.5#72Block%#725.0
69.7#31Assist%#10351.7
71.0#132P%#10750.0
32.4#1133P%#17737.9
63.4#160FT%—
52.3#353PA rate#8244.6

Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Incarnate Word

Mon, Nov 2AOklahoma St.49L 60–91
Mon, Mar 2HStephen F. Austin133L 68–76
Sat, Feb 28HLamar223W 72–60
Mon, Feb 23ANorthwestern St.298L 49–54
Sat, Feb 21ATexas A&M Commerce267W 82–73

Grand Canyon

Mon, Nov 2HTexas Southern327W 103–79
Thu, Mar 12NNevada61L 80–84
Sat, Mar 7HFresno St.182W 85–60
Tue, Mar 3AAir Force317W 86–60
Sat, Feb 28AUtah St.45L 69–74