Model line
Grand Canyon −20.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Grand Canyon 98%
Projected tempo
73.0
possessions
Site
Grand Canyon home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Grand Canyon a 20.3-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal Poly offense vs Grand Canyon defense
| Cal Poly O | Stat | Grand Canyon D |
|---|---|---|
| 76.1#1 | Tempo | #14669.0 |
| 51.5#171 | eFG% | #2847.4 |
| 19.9#346 | TOV% | #12917.3 |
| 30.0#197 | ORB% | #1225.3 |
| 34.9#184 | FT rate | #28539.0 |
| 11.4#324 | Block% | #11310.5 |
| 49.6#249 | Assist% | #11650.1 |
| 53.7#92 | 2P% | #3147.2 |
| 33.0#228 | 3P% | #6031.9 |
| 78.5#12 | FT% | — |
| 52.6#5 | 3PA rate | #22438.2 |
Grand Canyon offense vs Cal Poly defense
| Grand Canyon O | Stat | Cal Poly D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#146 | Tempo | #176.1 |
| 51.7#162 | eFG% | #29253.8 |
| 17.6#245 | TOV% | #20716.2 |
| 31.3#150 | ORB% | #13829.6 |
| 39.5#68 | FT rate | #15434.1 |
| 7.9#52 | Block% | #3505.7 |
| 49.6#250 | Assist% | #17952.5 |
| 54.2#80 | 2P% | #30955.0 |
| 31.8#287 | 3P% | #22834.7 |
| 75.3#72 | FT% | — |
| 38.9#192 | 3PA rate | #13340.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal Poly
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC San Diego102 | L 69–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 108–76 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 85–107 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 64–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Long Beach St.264 | W 102–92 |
Grand Canyon
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Nevada77 | L 80–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Fresno St.180 | W 85–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Air Force279 | W 86–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah St.56 | L 69–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | UNLV89 | W 80–67 |
