Model line
Utah −19.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Utah 98%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Utah home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Utah a 19.3-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Air Force offense vs Utah defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Utah D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #20168.0 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #29853.9 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #34913.3 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #23631.6 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #5729.9 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #2418.4 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #7248.2 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #30254.6 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #25435.1 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #33733.8 |
Utah offense vs Air Force defense
| Utah O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#201 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 52.0#150 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 16.7#181 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 29.3#227 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 31.7#263 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 12.0#343 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 51.7#197 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 51.5#195 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 35.3#102 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 73.8#144 | FT% | — |
| 37.5#222 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
Utah
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Cincinnati30 | L 66–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Baylor32 | L 75–101 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Colorado87 | L 78–92 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arizona St.68 | L 60–73 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Iowa St.6 | L 59–75 |
