Model line
Air Force −7.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Air Force 78%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Air Force home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Air Force a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Eastern Kentucky offense vs Air Force defense
| Eastern Kentucky O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#163 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 52.1#144 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 16.9#191 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 32.5#103 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 30.7#286 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 8.4#90 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 53.3#157 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 51.6#187 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 35.0#113 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 72.4#193 | FT% | — |
| 50.8#10 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs Eastern Kentucky defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Eastern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #16368.7 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #34556.1 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #30314.8 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #24031.7 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #27238.5 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #2368.4 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #24054.5 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #34857.4 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #31136.2 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #10641.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Eastern Kentucky
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Stetson267 | L 76–92 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lipscomb199 | L 77–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Queens182 | L 79–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Bellarmine305 | W 95–92 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | West Georgia322 | W 81–80 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
