Model line
Austin Peay −11.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Austin Peay 88%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Austin Peay home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Austin Peay a 11.2-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Air Force offense vs Austin Peay defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Austin Peay D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #8970.1 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #22352.2 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #10117.9 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #9828.9 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #12832.8 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #3306.4 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #17852.5 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #27253.9 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #13433.2 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #13240.8 |
Austin Peay offense vs Air Force defense
| Austin Peay O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#89 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 53.0#104 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 15.4#95 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 29.7#215 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 37.6#112 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 8.7#118 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 56.0#88 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 53.0#127 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 35.3#97 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 73.4#155 | FT% | — |
| 38.0#215 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
Austin Peay
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Queens182 | L 83–90 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Stetson267 | W 69–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bellarmine305 | L 97–111 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Central Arkansas177 | L 88–93 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Jacksonville230 | W 65–61 |
