Model line
Air Force −5.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Air Force 71%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Air Force home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Air Force a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Denver offense vs Air Force defense
| Denver O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#118 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 53.6#79 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 14.3#29 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 29.8#207 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 34.1#203 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 7.9#49 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 40.2#361 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 52.6#145 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 36.8#32 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 77.1#31 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#198 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs Denver defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Denver D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #11869.4 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #34456.0 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #35513.0 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #28932.8 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #23036.8 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #3565.0 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #742.4 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #33956.6 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #33636.7 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #25937.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Denver
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Dakota328 | L 67–83 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 80–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 82–80 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | South Dakota270 | W 90–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 76–83 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
