Model line
UTSA −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UTSA 73%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
UTSA home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes UTSA a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Air Force offense vs UTSA defense
| Air Force O | Stat | UTSA D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.1#59 | Tempo | #5674.3 |
| 37.5#222 | eFG% | #23767.9 |
| 17.5#112 | TOV% | #1428.3 |
| 44.2#21 | ORB% | #23450.0 |
| 47.1#55 | FT rate | #14439.3 |
| 28.6#241 | Block% | #1666.7 |
| 40.9#203 | Assist% | #22372.7 |
| 35.7#222 | 2P% | #23976.7 |
| 26.9#163 | 3P% | #18438.5 |
| 62.5#164 | FT% | — |
| 38.2#153 | 3PA rate | #7346.4 |
UTSA offense vs Air Force defense
| UTSA O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.3#56 | Tempo | #5974.1 |
| 52.4#100 | eFG% | #23167.2 |
| 18.8#137 | TOV% | #10418.9 |
| 23.1#199 | ORB% | #23150.0 |
| 20.6#210 | FT rate | #9832.8 |
| 3.4#42 | Block% | #2242.4 |
| 59.3#80 | Assist% | #13155.3 |
| 51.7#117 | 2P% | #22268.3 |
| 35.3#95 | 3P% | #21143.5 |
| 61.5#177 | FT% | — |
| 54.0#28 | 3PA rate | #17635.9 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Air Force
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Wright St.123 | L 71–102 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada61 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada61 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon47 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming119 | L 62–66 |
UTSA
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | San Jose St.137 | L 74–95 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rice226 | L 71–80 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Wichita St.86 | L 67–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | East Carolina176 | L 81–82 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulsa102 | L 74–100 |
