Model line
Air Force −10.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Air Force 86%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Air Force home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Air Force a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Idaho St. offense vs Air Force defense
| Idaho St. O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#244 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 51.8#155 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 17.0#200 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 32.8#93 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 37.9#105 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 8.8#134 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 47.0#303 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 52.9#132 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 33.6#190 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 74.1#125 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#134 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs Idaho St. defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Idaho St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #24467.0 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #31454.5 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #30714.7 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #6527.9 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #26138.0 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #7811.2 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #7448.3 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #32856.1 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #21634.5 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #26037.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Idaho St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Portland St.209 | L 78–85 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Northern Arizona308 | W 73–65 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Sacramento St.174 | L 65–83 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Weber St.288 | L 73–83 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Montana St.134 | W 91–76 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
