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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Air Force · #279 · MWC · 0–0Wright St. · #150 · Horz · 0–0Mon, Nov 2 · 7:00 PM ETESPN+Nutter Center · Dayton, OH
Model line
Wright St. −12.7
Win probability
Wright St. 91%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Wright St. home
9%Win probability91%

The model makes Wright St. a 12.7-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Air Force offense vs Wright St. defense

Air Force OStatWright St. D
67.4#226Tempo#15768.9
48.9#290eFG%#23752.4
21.9#361TOV%#17716.7
21.4#360ORB%#13029.4
35.1#173FT rate#13733.3
11.9#336Block%#7011.4
55.9#92Assist%#2044.6
51.1#2082P%#23852.9
30.6#3283P%#20734.3
64.1#364FT%—
41.8#1383PA rate#32634.5

Wright St. offense vs Air Force defense

Wright St. OStatAir Force D
68.9#157Tempo#22667.4
54.3#59eFG%#35056.4
16.1#150TOV%#27315.1
32.8#96ORB%#21331.3
37.4#121FT rate#22736.6
9.1#155Block%#3166.8
46.9#307Assist%#23054.2
54.2#812P%#33356.3
36.4#453P%#35037.6
74.7#99FT%—
34.2#2913PA rate#20638.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Air Force

Wed, Mar 11NNevada77L 45–80
Sat, Mar 7ANevada77L 59–74
Tue, Mar 3HGrand Canyon42L 60–86
Sat, Feb 28AWyoming117L 62–66
Tue, Feb 24HSan Jose St.161L 80–86

Wright St.

Fri, Mar 20NVirginia14L 73–82
Tue, Mar 10NDetroit Mercy277W 66–63
Mon, Mar 9NNorthern Kentucky217W 103–90
Wed, Mar 4HCleveland St.284W 90–61
Sat, Feb 28ANorthern Kentucky217W 92–91