Model line
Yale −12.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Yale 90%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Yale home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Yale a 12.4-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Brown offense vs Yale defense
| Brown O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#255 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 48.6#299 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 19.5#337 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 29.0#235 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 28.1#340 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 9.4#173 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 59.5#38 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 50.4#242 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 30.3#337 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 68.4#313 | FT% | — |
| 36.3#243 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Yale offense vs Brown defense
| Yale O | Stat | Brown D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #25566.7 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #17551.3 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #6218.7 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #15530.0 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #25237.6 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #4812.0 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #26055.3 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #20452.2 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #15233.5 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #6943.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Brown
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Penn123 | L 61–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cornell196 | L 80–86 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Columbia202 | L 62–80 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Princeton155 | W 80–71 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | A | Dartmouth304 | W 79–76 |
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
