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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Stony Brook · #225 · CAA · 0–0Brown · #229 · Ivy · 0–0Tue, Dec 22 · 4:00 PM ETESPN+Pizzitola Sports Center · Providence, RI
Model line
Brown −5.8
Win probability
Brown 73%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Brown home
27%Win probability73%

The model makes Brown a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Stony Brook offense vs Brown defense

Stony Brook OStatBrown D
66.4#281Tempo#25566.7
50.2#228eFG%#17551.3
16.8#188TOV%#6218.7
28.0#269ORB%#15530.0
28.4#338FT rate#25237.6
11.7#333Block%#4812.0
52.4#183Assist%#26055.3
48.5#2992P%#20452.2
34.8#1323P%#15233.5
72.3#197FT%—
45.8#503PA rate#6943.0

Brown offense vs Stony Brook defense

Brown OStatStony Brook D
66.7#255Tempo#28166.4
48.6#299eFG%#13950.7
19.5#337TOV%#14817.1
29.0#235ORB%#27932.4
28.1#340FT rate#19335.4
9.4#173Block%#11610.5
59.5#38Assist%#21153.3
50.4#2422P%#6048.8
30.3#3373P%#29335.7
68.4#313FT%—
36.3#2433PA rate#16639.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Stony Brook

Sat, Mar 7NCampbell260L 89–96
Tue, Mar 3HTowson179L 57–69
Sat, Feb 28AHofstra148L 58–67
Thu, Feb 26AMonmouth193L 69–82
Sat, Feb 21HHampton221W 79–72

Brown

Fri, Mar 6HPenn123L 61–82
Sat, Feb 28ACornell196L 80–86
Fri, Feb 27AColumbia202L 62–80
Fri, Feb 20HPrinceton155W 80–71
Sat, Feb 14ADartmouth304W 79–76