Model line
Air Force −4.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Air Force 69%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Air Force home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Air Force a 4.7-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Brown offense vs Air Force defense
| Brown O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#255 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 48.6#299 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 19.5#337 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 29.0#235 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 28.1#340 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 9.4#173 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 59.5#38 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 50.4#242 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 30.3#337 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 68.4#313 | FT% | — |
| 36.3#243 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Air Force offense vs Brown defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Brown D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #25566.7 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #17551.3 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #6218.7 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #15530.0 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #25237.6 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #4812.0 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #26055.3 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #20452.2 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #15233.5 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #6943.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Brown
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Penn123 | L 61–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cornell196 | L 80–86 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Columbia202 | L 62–80 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Princeton155 | W 80–71 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | A | Dartmouth304 | W 79–76 |
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
