Model line
St. Bonaventure −12.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Bonaventure 91%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
St. Bonaventure home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes St. Bonaventure a 12.8-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercyhurst offense vs St. Bonaventure defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | St. Bonaventure D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #22467.5 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #27753.3 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #14717.1 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #15029.8 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #15033.9 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #2513.1 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #27855.9 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #22952.8 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #30636.0 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #13740.7 |
St. Bonaventure offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| St. Bonaventure O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#224 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 52.4#129 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 16.8#187 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 34.5#60 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 30.0#311 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 8.0#59 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 55.2#111 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 50.8#221 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 37.4#22 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 74.7#96 | FT% | — |
| 31.3#335 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
St. Bonaventure
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Dayton67 | L 63–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | George Mason98 | W 63–57 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | La Salle168 | W 99–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Davidson121 | L 63–68 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | George Washington103 | L 82–91 |
