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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

St. Bonaventure · #158 · A10 · 0–0Siena · #271 · MC · 0–0Wed, Dec 9 · 7:00 PM ETESPN+MVP Arena · Albany, NY
Model line
Siena −0.6
Win probability
Siena 53%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Siena home
47%Win probability53%

The model makes Siena a 0.6-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

St. Bonaventure offense vs Siena defense

St. Bonaventure OStatSiena D
67.5#224Tempo#35164.2
52.4#129eFG%#4948.5
16.8#187TOV%#15617.0
34.5#60ORB%#13329.5
30.0#311FT rate#2827.5
8.0#59Block%#1969.1
55.2#111Assist%#7548.3
50.8#2212P%#5148.5
37.4#223P%#8232.3
74.7#96FT%—
31.3#3353PA rate#18639.4

Siena offense vs St. Bonaventure defense

Siena OStatSt. Bonaventure D
64.2#351Tempo#22467.5
50.4#221eFG%#27753.3
15.8#125TOV%#14717.1
31.8#132ORB%#15029.8
33.4#226FT rate#15033.9
9.5#189Block%#2513.1
53.2#160Assist%#27855.9
52.5#1472P%#22952.8
30.6#3323P%#30636.0
77.1#32FT%—
32.2#3273PA rate#13740.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

St. Bonaventure

Fri, Mar 13NDayton67L 63–68
Thu, Mar 12NGeorge Mason98W 63–57
Wed, Mar 11NLa Salle168W 99–80
Sat, Mar 7HDavidson121L 63–68
Wed, Mar 4AGeorge Washington103L 82–91

Siena

Thu, Mar 19NDuke1L 65–71
Tue, Mar 10NMerrimack211W 64–54
Sun, Mar 8NFairfield231W 76–61
Sat, Mar 7NMount St. Mary's299W 63–58
Sun, Mar 1HRider355W 76–61