Model line
Saint Louis −4.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Louis 66%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Saint Louis a 4.0-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Florida offense vs Saint Louis defense
| South Florida O | Stat | Saint Louis D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #2372.1 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #445.2 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #22615.9 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #4427.2 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #24237.1 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #1699.5 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #15751.4 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #845.1 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #1530.3 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #9741.9 |
Saint Louis offense vs South Florida defense
| Saint Louis O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1#23 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 59.7#2 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 17.2#219 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 30.7#174 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 33.7#221 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 11.2#318 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 60.4#28 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 59.5#11 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 39.9#2 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 74.1#130 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#65 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
Saint Louis
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan24 | L 72–95 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Georgia40 | W 102–77 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Dayton67 | L 69–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | George Washington103 | W 88–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | George Mason98 | L 57–86 |
