Model line
Saint Mary's −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 73%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Louis offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Saint Louis O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1#23 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 59.7#2 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 17.2#219 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 30.7#174 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 33.7#221 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 11.2#318 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 60.4#28 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 59.5#11 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 39.9#2 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 74.1#130 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#65 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs Saint Louis defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Saint Louis D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #2372.1 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #445.2 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #22615.9 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #4427.2 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #24237.1 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #1699.5 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #15751.4 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #845.1 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #1530.3 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #9741.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Louis
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan24 | L 72–95 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Georgia40 | W 102–77 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Dayton67 | L 69–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | George Washington103 | W 88–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | George Mason98 | L 57–86 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
