Model line
Saint Louis −21.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Louis 99%
Projected tempo
72.1
possessions
Site
Saint Louis home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Saint Louis a 21.1-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Kentucky offense vs Saint Louis defense
| Northern Kentucky O | Stat | Saint Louis D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#58 | Tempo | #2372.1 |
| 53.2#95 | eFG% | #445.2 |
| 16.3#156 | TOV% | #22615.9 |
| 32.2#118 | ORB% | #4427.2 |
| 35.9#157 | FT rate | #24237.1 |
| 7.7#40 | Block% | #1699.5 |
| 55.5#101 | Assist% | #15751.4 |
| 55.5#50 | 2P% | #845.1 |
| 33.6#192 | 3P% | #1530.3 |
| 72.1#206 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#71 | 3PA rate | #9741.9 |
Saint Louis offense vs Northern Kentucky defense
| Saint Louis O | Stat | Northern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1#23 | Tempo | #5870.9 |
| 59.7#2 | eFG% | #30454.2 |
| 17.2#219 | TOV% | #6718.6 |
| 30.7#174 | ORB% | #23331.6 |
| 33.7#221 | FT rate | #24537.2 |
| 11.2#318 | Block% | #1529.8 |
| 60.4#28 | Assist% | #18852.6 |
| 59.5#11 | 2P% | #26953.8 |
| 39.9#2 | 3P% | #33436.6 |
| 74.1#130 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#65 | 3PA rate | #22938.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Kentucky
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Wright St.150 | L 90–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Green Bay210 | W 96–76 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Oakland208 | W 85–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wright St.150 | L 91–92 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 81–70 |
Saint Louis
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan24 | L 72–95 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Georgia40 | W 102–77 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Dayton67 | L 69–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | George Washington103 | W 88–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | George Mason98 | L 57–86 |
