Model line
Missouri −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri 65%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Neutral
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Missouri a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Louis offense vs Missouri defense
| Saint Louis O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1#23 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 59.7#2 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 17.2#219 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 30.7#174 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 33.7#221 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 11.2#318 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 60.4#28 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 59.5#11 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 39.9#2 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 74.1#130 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#65 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Missouri offense vs Saint Louis defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Saint Louis D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #2372.1 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #445.2 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #22615.9 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #4427.2 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #24237.1 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #1699.5 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #15751.4 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #845.1 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #1530.3 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #9741.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Louis
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan24 | L 72–95 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Georgia40 | W 102–77 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Dayton67 | L 69–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | George Washington103 | W 88–81 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | George Mason98 | L 57–86 |
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
