Model line
Richmond −18.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Richmond 98%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Richmond home
3%Win probability98%
The model makes Richmond a 18.6-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Lafayette offense vs Richmond defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | Richmond D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#250 | Tempo | #17368.5 |
| 49.3#277 | eFG% | #21452.0 |
| 15.3#87 | TOV% | #11517.7 |
| 25.8#326 | ORB% | #20331.0 |
| 32.4#251 | FT rate | #18135.1 |
| 10.5#273 | Block% | #3027.3 |
| 55.4#104 | Assist% | #7148.2 |
| 50.0#252 | 2P% | #29954.5 |
| 32.2#269 | 3P% | #10232.7 |
| 68.9#300 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#175 | 3PA rate | #2645.6 |
Richmond offense vs Lafayette defense
| Richmond O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#173 | Tempo | #25066.9 |
| 52.7#116 | eFG% | #28853.6 |
| 14.3#33 | TOV% | #27915.1 |
| 25.0#340 | ORB% | #9028.6 |
| 36.9#134 | FT rate | #7530.6 |
| 7.7#41 | Block% | #3326.4 |
| 54.5#127 | Assist% | #33259.0 |
| 50.5#238 | 2P% | #25053.4 |
| 37.1#27 | 3P% | #30236.0 |
| 75.2#75 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#125 | 3PA rate | #23238.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Lafayette
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army346 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate207 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American198 | L 61–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 86–83 |
Richmond
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | L 67–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duquesne128 | L 77–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Dayton67 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Chicago151 | L 66–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 99–94 |
