Model line
Richmond −11.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Richmond 89%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Richmond home
12%Win probability89%
The model makes Richmond a 11.4-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
William & Mary offense vs Richmond defense
| William & Mary O | Stat | Richmond D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.6#9 | Tempo | #17368.5 |
| 54.3#58 | eFG% | #21452.0 |
| 16.5#169 | TOV% | #11517.7 |
| 26.0#323 | ORB% | #20331.0 |
| 44.0#10 | FT rate | #18135.1 |
| 9.8#227 | Block% | #3027.3 |
| 63.8#9 | Assist% | #7148.2 |
| 57.9#24 | 2P% | #29954.5 |
| 33.0#233 | 3P% | #10232.7 |
| 74.9#89 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#121 | 3PA rate | #2645.6 |
Richmond offense vs William & Mary defense
| Richmond O | Stat | William & Mary D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#173 | Tempo | #973.6 |
| 52.7#116 | eFG% | #20851.9 |
| 14.3#33 | TOV% | #5419.0 |
| 25.0#340 | ORB% | #23031.5 |
| 36.9#134 | FT rate | #19935.5 |
| 7.7#41 | Block% | #6711.5 |
| 54.5#127 | Assist% | #23454.2 |
| 50.5#238 | 2P% | #26653.7 |
| 37.1#27 | 3P% | #13233.1 |
| 75.2#75 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#125 | 3PA rate | #2845.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
William & Mary
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Hofstra148 | L 61–92 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Elon233 | W 72–62 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Hampton221 | W 94–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Carolina A&T300 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Northeastern252 | W 84–77 |
Richmond
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Loyola Chicago151 | L 67–75 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duquesne128 | L 77–79 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Dayton67 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Chicago151 | L 66–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | St. Bonaventure158 | W 99–94 |
